For security experts, the Hamburg case is part of a larger picture. Hans-Jakob Schindler from the transatlantic think tank “Counter Extremism Project” says that Iran has built up a network of organizations, individuals, and structures in Germany over many years. This has resulted in the creation of a veritable security architecture that will not simply disappear even after individual institutions have been banned.

[CEP Senior Director] Middle East expert Hans-Jakob Schindler analyzes the US and Israeli attacks on Iran. He emphasizes that President Peseshkian has no control over the military: “The Revolutionary Guards act independently,” says Hans-Jakob Schindler, Middle East expert, on WELT TV.

To assess the threat Iran might pose to Germany, DW spoke with extremism expert Hans‑Jakob Schindler, senior director of the Counter Extremism Project. "It's clear that the defense strategy of the Islamic regime in Iran really is hybrid warfare," Schindler said. "Therefore, the idea that they could also try to increase the economic and political costs of military confrontation globally by using terror attacks as they had a history in the past of doing is definitely something that is very clear."

How credible are claims of an Iranian hybrid warfare threat to Germany? DW's Giulia Saudelli asks terrorism analyst [CEP Senior Director] Hans-Jakob Schindler if Iran poses a real danger to Germany.

“What consequences will war with Iran have for the region? And how likely is regime change?” CEP Senior Director Dr. Hans-Jakob Schindler joins debate on the situation in Iran.  

“How will the Iran war reshape the Middle East? And is regime change a realistic prospect?” CEP Senior Director Dr. Hans-Jakob Schindler joins roundtable on the situation in Iran.  

[Counter Extremism Project Senior (CEP) Director] Security expert Hans-Jakob Schindler analyzes the current situation in Iran – The regime is economically and regionally isolated, but remains stable internally. The attacks on Kurdish groups in Iraq are intended to prevent independence efforts. “We are still at the beginning of the conflict.”

[Counter Extremism Project Senior Director] Hans-Jakob Schindler, a former UN Security Council co-ordinator for monitoring ISIS and Al Qaeda, said ISIS has sensed that "this is our opportunity to come back". He said the group's willingness to declare a "new phase" of operations hinted at a boost to manpower after the prison escapes and a push to recruit from Mr Al Shara's ranks.

CEP Senior Director Dr. Hans-Jakob Schindler on the risk of terrorism in Germany as a consequence of the war against Iran. 

"The aim is to drive up the political and economic costs for the Americans and Israelis," Middle East expert Hans-Jakob Schindler, head of the Berlin-based think tank Counter Extremism Project, told our editorial team. "The Iranians hope that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states will put pressure on the US and Israel to end the war."